低碳视角下中国非常规天然气的开发利用前景

doi:10.7623/syxb201203028

石油学报 ›› 2012, Vol. 33 ›› Issue (3): 526-532.DOI: 10.7623/syxb201203028

• 地质勘探 • 上一篇

低碳视角下中国非常规天然气的开发利用前景

云　箭 1,2　覃国军 2　徐凤银 3　李兴春 2　钟宁宁 1　吴伟涛 1

1中国石油大学油气资源与探测国家重点实验室　北京　102249；2中国石油集团安全环保技术研究院　北京　102206；3　中石油煤层气有限责任公司　北京　100028

收稿日期:2011-11-12 修回日期:2012-02-27 出版日期:2012-05-25 发布日期:2012-07-20
通讯作者: 云　箭
作者简介:云　箭，男，1977年6月生，2007年毕业于对外经济贸易大学，现为中国石油大学（北京）在读博士研究生，主要从事能源资源与环境、低碳经济与技术方面的研究。
基金资助:
中国石油天然气股份有限公司重大科技专项“低碳关键技术研究”（2011E-24）资助。

Development and utilization prospects of unconventional natural gas in China from a low-carbon perspective

YUN Jian 1,2　QIN Guojun 2　XU Fengyin 3　LI Xingchun 2　ZHONG Ningning 1　WU Weitao 1

Received:2011-11-12 Revised:2012-02-27 Online:2012-05-25 Published:2012-07-20

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

在对美国非常规天然气产业规模化利用研究的基础上，全面分析了中国非常规天然气资源的地质条件和开发状况，并从资源评价、勘探开发和配套政策三方面剖析了制约中国非常规天然气产业快速发展的主要因素。基于中国在实现低碳转型中所面临的能源利用效率低、供应不足以及碳排放强度大等诸多挑战，依据国际能源署(IEA)在“新政策”情景和“天然气黄金时代”情景关于中国到2035年能源结构的预测，对比分析美国非常规天然气开发利用成果，提出在低碳视角下的“强化非常规天然气”情景。在该情景下，中国非常规天然气产业将迎来超常规发展时期，到2035年，非常规天然气将成为天然气重要的接替能源，实现对煤炭资源的大幅度替代，能源消耗结构得到优化，低碳能源体系基本形成，温室气体排放速度明显减缓。

关键词: 低碳, 煤层气, 页岩气, 致密砂岩气, 非常规天然气, 前景

Abstract:

Based on the study of the large-scale utilization of unconventional natural gas in the United States, geological conditions and development situations of unconventional gas resources in China were investigated thoroughly, and main factors influencing the unconventional natural gas development in China were addressed from the resource evaluation, exploration technology and governmental policy aspects. In view of severe challenges currently met in the energy sector of China, such as low energy efficiency, scarce energy supply and high carbon emission, an “Extraordinary Unconventional Natural Gas Scenario” was constructed from the perspective of low-carbon development based on the forecast by “The New Policy Scenario” and “The Golden Age of Gas Scenario” from International Energy Agency (IEA). It is estimated under this scenario that China will achieve an extraordinary development in the unconventional natural gas industry by 2035, which will become an important alternative to the conventional gas energy. Hence, coal resources will be greatly replaced, the energy consumption structure will be optimized further, a low-carbon energy system will be basically formed and the greenhouse gas emission will decelerate significantly.

Key words: low-carbon, CBM, shale gas, tight gas, unconventional natural gas, prospect

云　箭　覃国军　徐凤银　李兴春　钟宁宁　吴伟涛. 低碳视角下中国非常规天然气的开发利用前景[J]. 石油学报, 2012, 33(3): 526-532.

YUN Jian　QIN Guojun　XU Fengyin　LI Xingchun　ZHONG Ningning　WU Weitao. Development and utilization prospects of unconventional natural gas in China from a low-carbon perspective[J]. Editorial office of ACTA PETROLEI SINICA, 2012, 33(3): 526-532.

参考文献

[1]Duncan Pollard,Rosamunde Almond,Emma Duncan.Living planet report 2010:biodiversity,biocapacity and development[OL].WWF International,Gland,Switzerland,2010,[2011]:http:∥www.wwfchina.org/wwfpress/presscenter/pressdetail.shtm?id=1101.

[2]孙慧,李伟.天然气如何在节能减排中发挥作用[J].石油规划设计,2009,20(5):7-9.

Sun Hui,Li Wei.Natural gas play an important role in the energy conservation and emissions reduction[J].Petroleum Planning & Engineering,2009,20(5):7-9.

[3]Exxon-Mobile.The outlook for energy:a view to 2030[OL].Texas:Corporate Headquarters,2009,[2011]:25-29,www.exxonmobil.com.

[4]王怀勐,朱炎铭,李伍,等.煤层气赋存的两大地质控制因素[J].煤炭学报,2011,36(7):1129-1135.

Wang Huaimeng,Zhu Yanming,Li Wu,et al.Two major geological control factors of occurrence characteristics of CBM[J].Journal of China Coal Society,2011,36(7):1129-1135.

[5]张厚福,徐兆辉,王露.油气藏研究的发展趋势预测[J].石油学报,2010,31(1):167-169.

Zhang Houfu,Xu Zhaohui,Wang Lu.Prediction of developing trends of reservoir research[J].Acta Petrolei Sinica,2010,31(1):167-169.

[6]Qin Shengfei,Tang Xiuyi,Song Yan,et al.Distribution and fractionation mechanism of stable carbon isotope of coalbed methane[J].Science in China Series D:Earth Sciences,2006,49(12):1252-1258.

[7]张金川，金之钧，袁明生.页岩气成藏机理和分布[J].天然气工业，2004,24（7）：15-21.

Zhang Jinchuan,Jin Zhijun,Yuan Mingsheng.reservoiring mechanism of shale gas and its distribution[J].Natural Gas Industry, 2004,24(7):15-21.

[8]汪凯明.中国非常规油气资源勘探开发前景[J].国外测井技术,2009(3):7-11.

Wang Kaiming.The prospect of exploration and development for unconventional hydrocarbon resources in China[J].World Well Logging Technology,2009(3):7-11.

[9]Law B E,J B Curtis.Introduction to unconventional petroleum systems[J].AAPG Bulletin,2002,86(11):1851-1852.

[10]胡文瑞.开发非常规天然气是利用低碳资源的现实最佳选择[J].天然气工业,2010,30(9):1-8.

Hu Wenrui.Development of unconventional natural gas:the best approach to low-carbon economy and resource efficiency[J].Natural Gas Industry,2010,30(9):1-8.

[11]安晓璇,黄文辉,刘思宇,等.页岩气资源分布、开发现状及展望[J].资源与产业,2010,12(2):104-110.

An Xiaoxuan,Huang Wenhui,Liu Siyu，et al.The distribution,development and expectation of shale gas resources[J].Resources & Industries,2010,12(2):104-110.

[12]江怀友,宋新民,安晓璇,等.世界页岩气资源与勘探开发技术综述[J].天然气技术,2008,2(6):26-32.

Jiang Huaiyou,Song Xinmin,An Xiaoxuan,et al.Global shale gas resources and its E&P technologies[J].Natural Gas Technology, 2008,2(6):26-32.

[13]EIA.Annual energy outlook 2011 with projections to 2035[OL].Washington,DC:U.S.Energy Information Administration Office of Integrated Analysis and Forecasting,2010,[2011]:78-80,http:∥www.eia.gov/oiaf/aeo/overview.html.

[14]云箭,钟宁宁,王嘉麟,等.低碳背景下促进我国页岩气产业化的对策研究[J].西南石油大学学报：自然科学版,2012, 34(1):65-67.

Yun Jian,Zhong Ningning,Wang Jialin,et al.Measures to promote shale gas large-scale development under low-carbon background in China[J].Journal of Southwest Petroleum University：Science & Technology Edition,2012,34(1):65-67.

[15]宁宁,王红岩,雍洪,等.中国非常规天然气资源基础与开发技术[J].天然气工业,2009,29(9):9-14.

Ning Ning,Wang Hongyan,Yong Hong,et al.The unconventional natural gas resources and exploitation technologies in China[J].Natural Gas Industry,2009,29(9):9-14.

[16]潘仁芳,黄晓松.页岩气及国内勘探前景展望[J].中国石油勘探,2009(3):1-7.

Pan Renfang,Huang Xiaosong.Shale gas and it’s exploration prospects in China[J].China Petroleum Exploration,2009(3):1-7.

[17]康毅力,罗平亚.中国致密砂岩气藏勘探开发关键工程技术现状与展望[J].石油勘探与开发,2007,34(2):239-246.

Kang Yili,Luo Pingya.Current status and prospect of key techniques for exploration and production of tight sandstone gas reservoirs in China[J].Petroleum Exploration and Development,2007,34(2):239-246.

[18]刘吉余,马志欣,孙淑艳.致密含气砂岩研究现状及发展展望[J].天然气地球科学,2008,19(3):316-320.

Liu Jiyu,Ma Zhixin,Sun Shuyan.Present research situation and prospects of tight gas sands[J].Natural Gas Geoscience,2008, 19(3):316-320.

[19]Yun Jian ,Xu Fengyin,Zhong Ningning,et al.Analysis of critical restricting factors and proposals for coabed methane Development in China[J].Advanced Materials Research,2011,361-363:848-852.

[20]孙平,王勃,孙粉锦,等.中国低煤阶煤层气成藏模式研究[J].石油学报,2009,30(5):648-654.

Sun Ping,Wang Bo,Sun Fenjin,et al.Research on reservoir patterns of low-rank coal-bed methane in China[J].Acta Petrolei Sinica,2009,30(5):648-654.

[21]陈振宏,陈艳鹏,杨焦生,等.高煤阶煤层气储层动态渗透率特征及其对煤层气产量的影响[J].石油学报,2010,31(6):966-970.

Chen Zhenhong,Chen Yanpeng,Yang Jiaosheng,et al.Reservoir dynamic permeability of high rank coalbed methane and its effect on the coalbed methane output[J].Acta Petrolei Sinica,2010，31(6):966-970.

[22]王红岩,李景明,赵群,等.中国新能源资源基础及发展前景展望[J].石油学报,2009,30(3):469-475.

Wang Hongyan,Li Jingming,Zhao Qun,et al.Resources and development of new energy in China[J].Acta Petrolei Sinica,2009,30(3):469-475.

[23]陈尚斌,朱炎铭，王红岩,等.中国页岩气研究现状与发展趋势[J].石油学报,2010,31(4):692-693.

Chen Shangbin,Zhu Yanming,Wang Hongyan,et al.Research status and trends of shale gas in China[J].Acta Petrolei Sinica, 2010,31(4):692-693.

[24]Tang Shuheng,Sun Shenglin,Hao Duohu,et al.Coalbed methane bearing characteristics and reservoir physical properties of principal target areas in north China[J].Acta Geologica Sinica,2004,78(3):724-728.

[25]唐书恒,马彩霞,叶建平,等.注二氧化碳提高煤层甲烷采收率的实验模拟[J].中国矿业大学学报,2006,35(5):607-612.

Tang Shuheng,Ma Caixia,Ye Jianping,et al.A modeling experiment of enhancing coalbed methane recovery by carbon dioxide injection[J].Journal of China University of Mining & Technology,2006,35(5):607-612.

[26]胡文瑞.中国石油非常规油气业务发展与展望[J].天然气工业,2008 ,28(7):527.

Hu Wenrui.Development and prospect of unconventional oil and gas business in China National Petroleum Corporation[J].Natural Gas Industry,2008,28(7):527.

[27]翟光明.关于非常规油气资源勘探开发的几点思考[J].天然气工业,2008,28(12):123.

Zhai Guangming.Speculations on the exploration and development of unconventional hydrocarbon resources[J].Natural Gas Industry,2008,28(12):123.

[28]许宪春,彭志龙,刘起运,等.“十二五”至2030年中国经济增长前景展望[J].统计研究,2011,28(1):5-10.

Xu Xianchun,Peng Zhilong,Liu Qiyun,et al.China’s economic prospect for the 12th Five-Year Plan Period and 2030[J].Statistical Research,2011,28(1):5-10.

[29]IEA.World energy outlook:2011[OL].Paris Cedex:International energy agency,2010,[2011]:59-271,http:∥www.iea.org/w/bookshop/add.aspx?id=428. 

[30]OECE/IEA.World energy outlook:are we entering a golden age of gas[OL].Paris Cedex:International energy agency,2011,[2011]:13-20,http:∥www.iea.org/speech/2011/Tanaka_Montreal_gas_speech.pdf.

低碳视角下中国非常规天然气的开发利用前景

Development and utilization prospects of unconventional natural gas in China from a low-carbon perspective

PDF

可视化

摘要/Abstract

引用本文

使用本文

参考文献

相关文章 15

编辑推荐

Metrics

本文评价

[1]	赵玉龙, 刘香禺, 张烈辉, 吴婷婷, 单保超. 粗糙孔壁对微/纳米尺度下致密砂岩气流动的影响[J]. 石油学报, 2021, 42(5): 641-653.
[2]	糜利栋. 基于产气剖面的页岩气离散裂缝网络反演方法[J]. 石油学报, 2021, 42(4): 481-491.
[3]	胡勇, 李熙喆, 徐轩, 梅青燕, 陈颖莉, 王继平, 焦春艳, 郭长敏, 贾玉泽. 含水致密砂岩气藏可动用储量评价新方法及其应用[J]. 石油学报, 2021, 42(3): 332-340.
[4]	何骁, 吴建发, 雍锐, 赵圣贤, 周小金, 张洞君, 张德良, 钟成旭. 四川盆地长宁—威远区块海相页岩气田成藏条件及勘探开发关键技术[J]. 石油学报, 2021, 42(2): 259-272.
[5]	张遂安, 刘欣佳, 温庆志, 张潇, 赵威, 袁玉. 煤层气增产改造技术发展现状与趋势[J]. 石油学报, 2021, 42(1): 105-118.
[6]	梁兴, 徐政语, 张介辉, 张朝, 李兆丰, 蒋佩, 蒋立伟, 朱斗星, 刘臣. 浅层页岩气高效勘探开发关键技术——以昭通国家级页岩气示范区太阳背斜区为例[J]. 石油学报, 2020, 41(9): 1033-1048.
[7]	陈浩, 周涛, 樊怀才, 张鉴, 杨胜来. 页岩储层人工裂缝岩样制备方法及应力敏感性[J]. 石油学报, 2020, 41(9): 1117-1126.
[8]	李俊乾, 卢双舫, 张鹏飞, 李文镖, 荆铁亚, 冯文俊. 页岩基质孔隙水定量表征及微观赋存机制[J]. 石油学报, 2020, 41(8): 979-990.
[9]	毕海滨, 孟昊, 高日丽, 郑婧, 徐小林, 鞠秀娟, 牛伟, 张劲, 周明庆, 赵丽华. 页岩气未开发区单井可采储量评估方法[J]. 石油学报, 2020, 41(5): 565-573.
[10]	何治亮, 聂海宽, 胡东风, 蒋廷学, 王濡岳, 张钰莹, 张光荣, 卢志远. 深层页岩气有效开发中的地质问题——以四川盆地及其周缘五峰组—龙马溪组为例[J]. 石油学报, 2020, 41(4): 379-391.
[11]	聂海宽, 李东晖, 姜涛, 颜彩娜, 杜伟, 张光荣. 基于笔石带特征的页岩等时地层测井划分方法及意义——以四川盆地及其周缘五峰组—龙马溪组为例[J]. 石油学报, 2020, 41(3): 273-283.
[12]	郭彤楼, 何希鹏, 曾萍, 高玉巧, 张培先, 何贵松. 复杂构造区页岩气藏地质特征与效益开发建议——以四川盆地及其周缘五峰组—龙马溪组为例[J]. 石油学报, 2020, 41(12): 1490-1500.
[13]	康永尚, 邓泽, 皇甫玉慧, 毛得雷. 中煤阶煤层气高饱和—超饱和带的成藏模式和勘探方向[J]. 石油学报, 2020, 41(12): 1555-1566.
[14]	邱楠生, 冯乾乾, 腾格尔, 申宝剑, 马中良, 俞凌杰, 曹爱强. 川东南丁山地区燕山期—喜马拉雅期差异构造-热演化与页岩气保存[J]. 石油学报, 2020, 41(12): 1610-1622.
[15]	袁士义, 王强, 李军诗, 韩海水. 注气提高采收率技术进展及前景展望[J]. 石油学报, 2020, 41(12): 1623-1632.