MULTIPLE STAGED STEPWISE PREDICTION OF PETROLEUM PRODUCTION

doi:10.7623/syxb199502019

Editorial office of ACTA PETROLEI SINICA ›› 1995, Vol. 16 ›› Issue (2): 135-140.DOI: 10.7623/syxb199502019

• Petroleum Engineering • Previous Articles Next Articles

MULTIPLE STAGED STEPWISE PREDICTION OF PETROLEUM PRODUCTION

Duan Yubo, Chen Guangyi, Zhou Yiping

Daqing Petroleum Institute

Received:1993-10-12 Revised:1994-10-05 Online:1995-04-25 Published:2013-07-06

石油产量的多层递阶预报

段玉波, 陈广义, 周毅平

大庆石油学院

作者简介:段玉波,1975年毕业于大庆石油学院.现任大庆石油学院计控系科研主任、副教授.通讯处:黑龙江省安达市.邮政编码:1514000.

Abstract

Abstract: In this paper,annual petroleum production data of one country are analyzed and themathematical model for the petroleum production are constructed.Because the characteristicof these data have a periodicity at a quarter of a year, the periodic time sequence is transferedinto the trend time sequence of petroleum production by using the technique of data separation.Then,every sequence is predicted by multiple staged stepwise prediction method, and a high accurate prediction results of the petroleum production are obtained.

Key words: time series analysis, prediction, multiple staged stepwise prediction

摘要： 对某国家历年的石油产量数据进行了分析,建立了关于石油产量的数学模型.根据此数据具有按季度的周期性这一特点,应用分离技术,把周期性的时间序列化为仅含趋势性的时间序列,然后对每个序列应用多层递阶预报方法进行了预报,得到了高精度的预报结果.

关键词: 时间序列分析, 预报, 多层递阶预报

Duan Yubo, Chen Guangyi, Zhou Yiping. MULTIPLE STAGED STEPWISE PREDICTION OF PETROLEUM PRODUCTION[J]. Editorial office of ACTA PETROLEI SINICA, 1995, 16(2): 135-140.

段玉波, 陈广义, 周毅平. 石油产量的多层递阶预报[J]. 石油学报, 1995, 16(2): 135-140.

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MULTIPLE STAGED STEPWISE PREDICTION OF PETROLEUM PRODUCTION

石油产量的多层递阶预报

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