基于风险的长输油气管道选线优化方法

doi:10.7623/syxb201403021

石油学报 ›› 2014, Vol. 35 ›› Issue (3): 570-576.DOI: 10.7623/syxb201403021

基于风险的长输油气管道选线优化方法

张圣柱, 吴宗之

中国安全生产科学研究院北京 100012

收稿日期:2013-12-10 修回日期:2014-03-31 出版日期:2014-05-25 发布日期:2014-04-11
通讯作者: 吴宗之，男，1963年3月生，1983年获华南理工大学学士学位，1989年获中国矿业大学（北京）博士学位，现任中国安全生产科学研究院院长、研究员，主要从事危险化学品安全技术、重大危险源辨识与控制、应急管理等方面的研究。Email：ncs@chinasafety.ac.cn
作者简介:张圣柱，男，1983年8月生，2006年获山东科技大学学士学位，2012年获中国矿业大学（北京）博士学位，现为中国安全生产科学研究院工程师，主要从事油气管道及危险化学品安全技术研究。Email：zhangsz@chinasafety.ac.cn
基金资助:
国家科技支撑计划项目“油罐区重大燃爆事故防范关键技术”（2012BAK03B03）资助。

Risk-based optimization method for long-distance oil and gas transmission pipeline route

Zhang Shengzhu, Wu Zongzhi

China Academy of Safety Science and Technology, Beijing 100012, China

Received:2013-12-10 Revised:2014-03-31 Online:2014-05-25 Published:2014-04-11

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

长输油气管道选线是复杂的多目标决策问题，控制事故风险、降低建设成本是选线的两个主要目标。应用多目标决策理论，以选择风险可接受且建设成本较低的路线为优化目标，提出了长输油气管道选线优化方法。通过研究优化目标的计算方法，分析选线的约束条件，确定网格划分的精度及范围，建立了选线优化模型，运用动态规划算法求解该模型并进行了实例应用。结果表明，基于风险的选线优化方法是可行的，长输油气管道个人风险标准和村庄或建（构）筑物的搬迁情况可作为选线的约束条件，定义特殊区域周边局部范围的地形地貌类型有助于控制个人风险，两个优化目标的权重分配需要根据实际情况进行调整。

关键词: 长输油气管道, 风险分析, 安全规划, 多目标优化, 选线方法

Abstract:

Selection of the route of long-distance oil and gas transmission pipeline is a complicated multi-target problem. Accident risk control and construction cost reduction are two major targets for such selection. By applying multi-target decision theoretical approach and with the route of acceptable risk and lower construction cost as optimization target, this paper puts forward an optimization method for selection of the route of long-distance oil and gas pipeline. By investigating the computation method for the optimized target, the paper analyzes the constraint conditions of such selection, determines the precision and range of grid division, and establishes the route selection optimization model. Subsequently, the model is solved by dynamic programming algorithm and a case study is demonstrated. The results show that, the risk-based route selection optimization method is feasible, individual risk criteria of long-distance oil and gas transmission pipeline and relocation of villages or buildings (structures) can serve as the constraint conditions for the selection. Defining the local topography and landform around special region helps to control individual risk. The weighting distribution of the two optimized targets needs adjustment according to actual conditions.

Key words: long-distance oil and gas transmission pipeline, risk analysis, safety planning, multi-objective optimization, route selection method

中图分类号:

TE88

张圣柱, 吴宗之. 基于风险的长输油气管道选线优化方法[J]. 石油学报, 2014, 35(3): 570-576.

Zhang Shengzhu, Wu Zongzhi. Risk-based optimization method for long-distance oil and gas transmission pipeline route[J]. ACTA PETROLEI SINICA, 2014, 35(3): 570-576.

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基于风险的长输油气管道选线优化方法

Risk-based optimization method for long-distance oil and gas transmission pipeline route

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