石油学报 ›› 1990, Vol. 11 ›› Issue (1): 74-80.DOI: 10.7623/syxb199001010

• 油田开发 • 上一篇    下一篇

确定递减类型的新方法

陈元千   

  1. 石油勘探开发科学研究院
  • 收稿日期:1987-08-17 出版日期:1990-01-25 发布日期:2013-07-08

A NEW METHOD OF IDENTIFY THE TYPE DECLINE CURVE

Chen Yuanqian   

  1. Research Institute of Petroleum Exploration and Development, Beijing
  • Received:1987-08-17 Online:1990-01-25 Published:2013-07-08

摘要: 由J.J.Arps提出的三种递减类型[1],即指数递减、双曲线递减和调和递减,在油、气藏工程中得到了极为广泛的应用。它们不但可以用于预测油、气藏的未来产量变化,而且可以预测达到经济极限产量条件下的可采储量。但是,必须在准确地确定递减类型之后,才能得到可靠的预测结果。目前确定递减类型的方法主要有,曲线位移法[2~5]、试差法[4~6]和典型曲线拟合法[3~5,7~8]。本文提出了一个确定递减类型的新方法,即二元回归分析法,利用该法可以得到唯一的求解结果。

Abstract: The three types of decline curves presented by Arps(i.e. Exponential decline, Hyperbolic decline, and Harmonic decline)has been applied extensively in reservoir engineering. They are used to predict future production rate and recoverable reserves of oil and gas reservoirs. However the result their valid prediction can be obtained only when the exact type is identified. Generally three methods of determining are used today to identify the type of decline curve namely: (1) Curve shifting method; (2) Trail and Error method; and (3) Type curve matching method. However, the results obtained by either of these methods are nonunique to some degree. A New method of identify the type of decline curves i.e. the method of dual regression analysis is presented in this paper, which can give a unique result. A program on a PC-1500 pocket computer is presented in this paper.