石油学报 ›› 1997, Vol. 18 ›› Issue (4): 101-105.DOI: 10.7623/syxb199704018

• 石油工程 • 上一篇    下一篇

近海平台贮备强度的概率评估

孙秦1, 邓洪洲2, 刘建安3   

  1. 1. 西北工业大学飞机系;
    2. 同济大学结构学院;
    3. 西安秦川机械厂
  • 收稿日期:1995-05-04 修回日期:1996-07-15 出版日期:1997-10-25 发布日期:2013-07-08
  • 作者简介:孙秦,1981年毕业于西北工业大学,1993年获博士学位.现从事西北工业大学飞机设计专业工作,副教授.通讯处:西安市西北工业大学120信箱.邮政编码:910072.

A PROBABILITY EVALUATION ON RESERVE STRENGTH OF OFFSHORE PLATFORM

Sun Qin1, Deng Hongzhou2, Liu jianan3   

  1. Northwest Polytechnical University
  • Received:1995-05-04 Revised:1996-07-15 Online:1997-10-25 Published:2013-07-08

摘要:

应用极限强度的概率分析理论,以国内某现役近海石油平台结构为工程背景,对三维大型导管架结构系统的贮备强度及安全裕度进行了系统研究.针对平台结构特征,对管节点的冲剪效应、管的局部与整体屈曲失效模式、结构失效的工程判据、系统破坏路径枚举等给予了充分讨论,构造了关于截止破坏路径枚举的工程优化准则算法,结合载荷增量方法,完善了大型导管架系统贮备强度及安全裕度的概率评估方法,并开发成相应的工程分析软件.由实际算例,对算法的合理性及可行性进行了论证分析,数值结果表明与实际结构工程的使用维护结论相符.该研究为大型导管架结构系统的安全性评估是有效及可靠的.

关键词: 近海平台结构, 贮备强度, 安全裕度, 概率评估方法, 工程优化准则算法, 工程软件

Abstract:

On the basis of probabilistic evaluation theory of ultimate strength analysis,the sophisticated and systematic studies on reserve strength and safety margin of 3D large scaled jacket structure system,under the background of an in-serve off shore platform were made in this paper.Stressed on the platform structure characteristics,this work paid more attention and discussion to pushing-shear effect of tubular joints,local and bulky tubular buckling failure pattern,engineering structure collapse criteria and structural system failure paths searching strategy,etc.An effective engineering optimal criterion for cutting off failure model enumeration was proposed.With load incremental method,a complete probabilistic evaluation procedure of reserve strength and safety margin for the mentioned structural system was constructed and also programmed.A practical engineering example was used to check its reasonableness and feasibility of the above algorithm procedure,and the numerical results in Table 2 were identified in fairly good agreement with some maintenance situations in engineering practice,which shows that the proposed safety evaluation procedure is effctive and reliable.

Key words: offshore platform structure, reserve strength, safety margin, probabilistic evaluation pracedure, engineering optimal criterion, program software