海洋石油平台结构全寿命周期动态鲁棒性分析

doi:10.7623/syxb201502015

石油学报 ›› 2015, Vol. 36 ›› Issue (2): 246-252.DOI: 10.7623/syxb201502015

海洋石油平台结构全寿命周期动态鲁棒性分析

林红^1,2, 陈国明¹, 朱本瑞¹, 刘红兵¹

1. 中国石油大学海洋油气装备与安全技术研究中心山东青岛 266580;
2. 中国石油大学储运与建筑工程学院山东青岛 266580

收稿日期:2014-06-19 修回日期:2014-12-10 出版日期:2015-02-25 发布日期:2015-02-05
通讯作者: 陈国明,男,1962年10月生,1982年获华东石油学院学士学位,1999年获石油大学博士学位,现为中国石油大学(华东)教授、博士生导师,主要从事海洋油气工程及装备、油气安全工程方面的研究工作。Email:offshore@126.com
作者简介:林红,女,1980年12月生,2003年获济南大学学士学位,2009年获中国石油大学(华东)博士学位,现为中国石油大学(华东)副教授,主要从事海洋石油工程结构力学及可靠性方面的研究工作。Email:linhong_ly@126.com
基金资助:
国家自然科学基金项目(No.51209218,No.51079159)和青岛市应用基础研究计划项目(青年专项) (14-2-4-58-jch)资助。

Dynamic robustness analysis of the offshore platform in the whole life cycle

Lin Hong^1,2, Chen Guoming¹, Zhu Benrui¹, Liu Hongbing¹

1. Center for Offshore Engineering and Safety Technology, China University of Petroleum, Shandong Qingdao 266580, China;
2. College of Pipeline and Civil Engineering, China University of Petroleum, Shandong Qingdao 266580, China

Received:2014-06-19 Revised:2014-12-10 Online:2015-02-25 Published:2015-02-05

摘要/Abstract

摘要：

为有效描述海洋平台服役周期内结构整体对于"突发局部损伤"的抵抗能力——鲁棒性,综合考虑了波浪载荷、腐蚀作用和结构材料的随机性,以及由于疲劳与腐蚀导致的平台结构承载能力退化,定量刻画了"突发事件"引发局部损伤的时间、类型和位置的不确定性,提出一种全寿命周期动态鲁棒性指标。在此基础上,建立了退化平台结构动态鲁棒性的评价方法和流程,采用Monte-Carlo随机模拟方法,从系统动态失效概率的角度评价平台结构的鲁棒性。模拟示例结果表明:在服役后期疲劳和腐蚀退化对于结构鲁棒性的影响明显;且通过控制初始裂纹的尺寸改善平台的初始状态,可有效提高平台服役后期的鲁棒性。

关键词: 动态鲁棒性, 海洋石油平台, 随机模拟, 突发事件, 全寿命周期

Abstract:

To effectively demonstrate the resistance capability of offshore platform structure to unexpected local damages in service period, i.e., robustness, this study takes full consideration of wave load, corrosive effect of structure material, and loading-capacity deterioration of the platform structure caused by fatigue and corrosion, quantifies the uncertain factors of unexpected local damage such as occurrence time, type and location, as well as proposes a dynamic robustness index for the whole life cycle of offshore platform. On this basis, the evaluation method and process of dynamic robustness has been built for the deteriorated platform structure; the robustness is evaluated using Monte-Carlo stochastic simulation method from the perspective of the system dynamic failure probability. The results show that the deterioration caused by fatigue and corrosion exerts a significant impact on the structure robustness; the initial condition of offshore platform can be improved by controlling the sizes of initial cracks, thus efficiently enhancing robustness in the late service period.

Key words: dynamic robustness, offshore platforms, stochastic simulation, emergency, the whole service life cycle

中图分类号:

TE58

林红, 陈国明, 朱本瑞, 刘红兵. 海洋石油平台结构全寿命周期动态鲁棒性分析[J]. 石油学报, 2015, 36(2): 246-252.

Lin Hong, Chen Guoming, Zhu Benrui, Liu Hongbing. Dynamic robustness analysis of the offshore platform in the whole life cycle[J]. Acta Petrolei Sinica, 2015, 36(2): 246-252.

参考文献

[1] 胡晓斌,钱稼茹.结构连续倒塌分析与设计方法综述[J].建筑结构,2006,36(增刊1):79-83.
Hu Xiaobin,Qian Jiaru.Overview of analysis and design approaches for progressive collapse of structures[J].Building Structure,2006,36(Supplement1):79-83.
[2] Masoero E,Wittel F K,Herrmann H J.Progressive collapse mechanisms of brittle and ductile framed structures[J].Journal of Engineering Mechanics,2010,136(8):987-995.
[3] 阎石,王积慧,王丹,等.爆炸荷载作用下框架结构的连续倒塌机理分析[J].工程力学,2009,26(增刊1):119-123.
Yan Shi,Wang Jihui,Wang Dan,et al.Mechanism analysis on progressive collapse of RC frame structure under blast effect[J].Engineering Mechanics,2009,26(Supplement1):119-123.
[4] 李易,陆新征,叶列平,等.钢筋混凝土框架抗连续倒塌机制研究[J].建筑科学,2011,27(5):12-18.
Li Yi,Lu Xinzheng,Ye Lieping,et al.Study on the progressive collapse mechanism of RC frame structures[J].Building Science,2011,27(5):12-18.
[5] 朱本瑞,陈国明,刘康,等.深水导管架平台抗台风极限承载能力[J].石油学报,2014,35(1):152-158.
Zhu Benrui,Chen Guoming,Liu Kang,et al.Typhoon-resistant ultimate bearing capacity of deep-water jacket platforms[J].Acta Petrolei Sinica,2014,35(1):152-158.
[6] Canisius T D G,Baker J,Diamantidis D,et al.Structural robustness design for practising engineers[R].COST Action TU0601:Rbustness of Structures.ETH Zurich:European Cooperation in Science and Technology,2011.
[7] 吕大刚,宋鹏彦,崔双双,等.结构鲁棒性及其评价指标[J].建筑结构学报,2011,32(11):44-54.
Lü Dagang,Song Pengyan,Cui Shuangshuang,et al.Structural robustness and its assessment indicators[J].Journal of Building Structures,2011,32(11):44-54.
[8] Blockley D I,Agarwal J,Pinto J T,et al.Structural vulnerability,reliability and risk[J].Progress in Structural Engineering and Materials,2002,4(2):203-212.
[9] Agarwal J,Blocldey D I,Woodman N J.Vulnerability of systems[J].Civil Engineering and Environmental Systems,2001,18(2):141-165.
[10] Frangopol D M,Curley J P.Effects of damage and redundancy on structural reliability[J].Journal of Structural Engineering,1987,113(7):1533-1549.
[11] Feng Y S,Moses F.Optimum design redundancy and reliability of structural systems[J].Computers & Structures,1986,24(2):239-251.
[12] 叶列平,林旭川,曲哲,等.基于广义结构刚度的构件重要性评价方法[J].建筑科学与工程学报,2010,27(1):1-6.
Ye Lieping,Lin Xuchuan,Qu Zhe,et al.Evaluating method element importance of structural system based on generalized structural stiffness[J].Journal of Architecture and Civil Engineering,2010,27(1):1-6.
[13] 聂武,孙丽萍,李治彬,等.海洋工程钢结构设计[M].哈尔滨:哈尔滨工程大学出版社,2007:18-25.
Nie Wu,Sun Liping,Li Zhibin,et al.Ocean engineering steel structure design[M].Harbin:Harbin Engineering University Press,2007:18-25.
[14] Moan T,Ayala-Uraga E,Wang Xiaozhi.Reliability-based service life assessment of FPSO structures[R].Abs Technical Papers,2004:193-215.
[15] Melchers R E.The effect of corrosion on the structural reliability of steel offshore structures[J].Corrosion Science,2005,47(10):2391-2410.
[16] 林红,陈国明,陈团海.基于可靠性理论的多失效模式老龄平台剩余寿命预测[J].机械强度,2011,33(2):302-307.
Lin Hong,Chen Guoming,Chen Tuanhai.Reliability-based remaining life prediction of ageing offshore platforms with multi-failure modes[J].Journal of Mechanical Strength,2011,33(2):302-307.
[17] Ersdal G.Assessment of existing offshore structures for life extension[D].Stavanger:University of Stavanger,2005.
[18] 欧进萍,段忠东,肖仪清.海洋平台结构安全评定:理论、方法与应用[M].北京:科学出版社,2003:179-180.
Ou Jinping,Duan Zhongdong,Xiao Yiqing.Offshore platform structures safety assessment:theory,method and application[M].Beijing:Science Press,2003:179-180.

海洋石油平台结构全寿命周期动态鲁棒性分析

Dynamic robustness analysis of the offshore platform in the whole life cycle

PDF

可视化

摘要/Abstract

引用本文

使用本文

参考文献

相关文章 9

编辑推荐

Metrics

本文评价

[1]	李宇鹏　吴胜和　耿丽慧　Mehran M.Hasanpour　印森林　陈玉琨 . 基于空间矢量的点坝砂体储层构型建模[J]. 石油学报, 2013, 34(1): 133-139.
[2]	李　军　杨晓娟　张晓龙　熊利平. 基于三维马尔可夫链模型的岩性随机模拟[J]. 石油学报, 2012, 33(5): 846-853.
[3]	李军熊利平方石唐林霍红. 基于多尺度数据融合Markov链模型的岩性随机模拟[J]. 石油学报, 2010, 31(1): 73-77.
[4]	郭秋麟, 谢红兵, 米石云, 陈宁生, 梁坤, 胡素云. 油气资源分布的分形特征及应用[J]. 石油学报, 2009, 30(3): 379-385.
[5]	林博, 戴俊生, 冀国盛, 黄文科, 郭振海. 河流相建筑结构随机建模与剩余油分布研究[J]. 石油学报, 2007, 28(4): 81-85.
[6]	冯国庆, 陈军, 李允, 张烈辉. 利用相控参数场方法模拟储层参数场分布[J]. 石油学报, 2002, 23(4): 61-64.
[7]	裘怿楠, 贾爱林. 储层地质模型10年[J]. 石油学报, 2000, 21(4): 101-104.
[8]	胡雪涛, 李允. 随机网络模拟研究微观剩余油分布[J]. 石油学报, 2000, 21(4): 46-51.
[9]	杜启振, 侯加根, 陆基孟. 储层微相及砂体预测模型[J]. 石油学报, 1999, 20(2): 45-50.