Abstract: The dynamic system of sandstone oil field using waterinjection development is a non-steady random system which varies with time.A prediction method of oil field performance by the use of system analysis is presented.A case history of D oilfield is exampled to demonstrate the practical value of system analysis for performance prediction of oil field.

摘要： 注水开发砂岩油田的动态体系是一个具有时变特点的非平稳随机过程系统,因此应用系统分析方法解决油田动态预测问题,在一定范围内较之分析方法有更大的优越性.本文提供了一个针对这种特点所选择的预测方法,对D油田产量进行五年预报,并有经过实际资料检验的实例,可以说明系统分析方法解决油田动态预测问题的实用价值.