石油学报 ›› 1992, Vol. 13 ›› Issue (S1): 70-79.DOI: 10.7623/syxb1992S1010

• 论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

卡钻预测分析

孙星云, 郭学增, 胡湘炯   

  1. 石油大学, 北京
  • 出版日期:1992-12-25 发布日期:2013-07-08

PREDICTION OF PIPE STICKING

Sun Xingyun, Guo Xuezeng, Hu Xiangjiong   

  1. University of Petroleum, Beijing
  • Online:1992-12-25 Published:2013-07-08

摘要: 利用多元统计分析探索了一条适用于现场的预测卡钻途径.通过对现场大量工程数据资料的分析.发现了非卡钻、压差卡钻、机诫卡钻三总体之问的统计羞别.利川两仲判别分析分别建立了区分三总体的判别函数,作出了Fisher判别分类图,得出了各参且对判别函数影响的显茗性次序.利用部分现场数据对判别函数的预测效果进行检验,证明.该预测方法对卡钻预测效果良好.有利于降低生产中卡钻造成的经济损失.

关键词: 钻井, 卡钻, 预测分析

Abstract: A multivariate statistical approach was used to analyze the stuck pipe data and pra diet the chances of pipe sticking.Three groups of data,mechanical sticking.differential sticking and nonsticking were used to study the data and discriminant functions were found to distinguish these three groups.Then Fisher discriminant functions was used to plot the Fisher classification maps.Discussions of the discriminant functions gave the relative importance in discriminant power of each variable.The validity of the discrimipant functions was checked against field data.The test results confirmed the prediction of pipe sticking with the proposed discriminant functions.