石油学报 ›› 1997, Vol. 18 ›› Issue (1): 63-69.DOI: 10.7623/syxb199701011

• 油田开发 • 上一篇    下一篇

预测油气田产量的Г模型

闵琪, 胡建国   

  1. 长庆石油勘探开发研究院
  • 收稿日期:1995-11-09 修回日期:1996-03-15 出版日期:1997-01-25 发布日期:2010-09-06
  • 作者简介:闵琪,1968年毕业于北京石油学院。现任长庆石油勘探局勘探开发研究院院长,高级工程师。通讯处:甘肃省庆阳县。邮政编码:715101。

A MODEL FOR PREDICTING THE PRODUCTION OF OIL AND GAS FIELDS

Min Qi, Hu Jianguo   

  1. Exploration and Development Institute of Changqing Petroleum Exploration Bureau
  • Received:1995-11-09 Revised:1996-03-15 Online:1997-01-25 Published:2010-09-06

摘要: 基于对油气田产量变化规律及概率论中的Г分布,进行综合系统研究的结果,推导建立了预测油气田产量的Г模型。该模型不但可以预测油气田产量、累积产量随时间的变化,而且也可以预测油气田可采储量、最高年产量及其发生的时间。

关键词: 油气藏动态, 可采储量, 产量预测, 模型

Abstract: The oil and gas production trends and their Γ distribution in probability statistics theory are studied systematically.A Γ model for predicting the oil and gas fields production bas been presented in the paper.The model can be used to predict not only the variation of oil and gas field production and cumulative production with time but also the recoverable oil and gas reserves, maximum yearly production and its corresponding time.

Key words: reservoir performance, recoverable reserve, production prediction, model